Miggy Tejada: Lying Liar
Jose de Jesus Ortiz, quite possibly the only chron writer who doesn’t make me physically ill (and I rather enjoy him, actually), reports today that Miguel Tejada, that beacon of righteousness, is a big fat liar. OK, perhaps I’m being harsh (duh!). I do agree with Ortiz’ blog-based sentiment that, perhaps, lying wasn’t such a bad thing. And, all of his legal documents show his correct age. However, this should have all been cleared up many years ago, at least by the Age-Gate controversy, but it wasn’t.
In one of my first posts on this nascent blog, I expressed doubt about Tejada’s age. Doubts as to Tejada’s age have been around for several years. Considering the normal peak for hitters is between 26-30 years old, adding two years to his age makes his career path follow historical patterns more closely.
So what? Blah blah blah, bfd, you calloused old under-sexed alcoholic bitter old MF, what does this mean to me?
To put it in perspective, instead of having him tied up over his age 32 and 33 seasons, it’s now his 34 and 35 seasons. And, now that we are in the post-roid era, we’ll have a more normal player production curve. Offensively, we know that players have a tendency to tail off after their age 32 season.
Last year was Tejada’s lowest OPS since his 2001 season, but he also showed a considerable power drop-off. Adding two years means that this is more likely a trend - the declining numbers - than it was a statistical variance.
Finally, let me add that Ed Wade deserves even more scrutiny after this deal. Pulling the trigger the day before the Mitchell Report, and then likely knowing Tejada’s correct age, is poor management. You can try to convince me otherwise, but good luck. It was this deal that soured me on the Stros’ hopes for the season, and now I’m closer to flat-out pissed.
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In today’s action, the Astros staff gave up four HRs in an ugly effort today. Miggy celebrated his pair of birthday’s today by homering, as well. I wonder if he gets two cakes?
Wednesday nights are tough for me - it’s an important family night - so I didn’t get to see the game yesterday. But how nice was it to see some goose eggs on Roy’s linescore? The Phillies, even without Rollins, are a solid offensive squad. Yesterday’s outing was a boost for me (and, you know, it’s really all about me).
Edit: Nate Silver re-ran Tejada’s PECOTA projections after adding on two years (sub required). The take away is that there is not a huge difference in his 2008 numbers - though it’s not statistically insignificant, but the new age lowers his overall value 40% from here on out. That’s the performance curve drop-off I talk about above.
Posted under 2008 Season, Astros, Ed Wade hurts my brain, Methuselah Tejada, RoyO
April 17th, 2008 at 5:55 pm
Astros Cocktail: 2 parts bleach, 1 part vodka, stir. Garnish with tears.
April 17th, 2008 at 5:57 pm
As Wade said, it doesn’t really matter because he’s playing like he’s 25 years old.
April 17th, 2008 at 6:58 pm
Nash, you’re awesome. Somebody could give you a bag full of lemons, you’d beat me about the face and groin with it, then you’d pour out the best homemade lemonade in the history of the non-Xenuian universe.
April 17th, 2008 at 8:03 pm
Did you forget that we gave up next to nothing, considering Patton’s injury, to get him? Yes, he’s making 14MM, but that’s really not that huge of a deal, we were losing that with Bagwell and he wasn’t even playing
April 17th, 2008 at 9:30 pm
I’m probably blindly optimistic, but I just can’t give up on the season this early. Football season is too far away.
Besides, take it all in while we still have Berkman, Lee, Tejada, and Oswalt. Because once those guys are through in Houston, we face the serious prospect of losing a hundred games. And maybe for 2-3 consecutive seasons.
A good GM would unload all four of those guys if we can’t win eighty games this season and completely replenish the farm system. For some reason, I just don’t see us doing that. It’s a shame too, cause those guys could really net us a bright future with all the prospects they’d bring in.
April 18th, 2008 at 7:17 am
I’d be on board with offloading Lee and Tejada. But I could never come to terms with Oswalt or Berkman in any other jersey.
That being said - I learned from the Phillie’s broadcast last night that we have 5 picks in the first 3 rounds this year. That would make me pretty excited, except that Drayton is married to Selig’s f*ing slot money system which has lost us a prospect or two lately. Still - and I’m not sure on this - but I think Utley and Howard were Wade picks so perhaps he’s not as blind to the farm system as I originally thought.
April 18th, 2008 at 8:29 am
[…] Wade took over as GM of the Astros in September 2007. From points raised in the Lying Liar discussion, let’s take a quick look at some of deals he’s pulled off, specifically, […]